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THE LOTTERY OF LIFE:
Where to be born in 2013


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Nov 21st 2012



Warren Buffett, probably the world’s most successful investor, has said that anything good that happened to him could be traced back to the fact that he was born in the right country, the United States, at the right time (1930). A quarter of a century ago, when The World in 1988 light-heartedly ranked 50 countries according to where would be the best place to be born in 1988, America indeed came top. But which country will be the best for a baby born in 2013?

To answer this, the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), a sister company of The Economist, has this time turned deadly serious. It earnestly attempts to measure which country will provide the best opportunities for a healthy, safe and prosperous life in the years ahead.

Its quality-of-life index links the results of subjective life-satisfaction surveys—how happy people say they are—to objective determinants of the quality of life across countries. Being rich helps more than anything else, but it is not all that counts; things like crime, trust in public institutions and the health of family life matter too. In all, the index takes 11 statistically significant indicators into account. They are a mixed bunch: some are fixed factors, such as geography; others change only very slowly over time (demography, many social and cultural characteristics); and some factors depend on policies and the state of the world economy.




A forward-looking element comes into play, too. Although many of the drivers of the quality of life are slow-changing, for this ranking some variables, such as income per head, need to be forecast. We use the EIU’s economic forecasts to 2030, which is roughly when children born in 2013 will reach adulthood.

Despite the global economic crisis, times have in certain respects never been so good. Output growth rates have been declining across the world, but income levels are at or near historic highs. Life expectancy continues to increase steadily and political freedoms have spread across the globe, most recently in north Africa and the Middle East. In other ways, however, the crisis has left a deep imprint—in the euro zone, but also elsewhere—particularly on unemployment and personal security. In doing so, it has eroded both family and community life.



Enlarge


What does all this, and likely developments in the years to come, mean for where a baby might be luckiest to be born in 2013? After crunching its numbers, the EIU has Switzerland comfortably in the top spot, with Australia second.

Small economies dominate the top ten. Half of these are European, but only one, the Netherlands, is from the euro zone. The Nordic countries shine, whereas the crisis-ridden south of Europe (Greece, Portugal and Spain) lags behind despite the advantage of a favourable climate. The largest European economies (Germany, France and Britain) do not do particularly well.

America, where babies will inherit the large debts of the boomer generation, languishes back in 16th place. Despite their economic dynamism, none of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) scores impressively. Among the 80 countries covered, Nigeria comes last: it is the worst place for a baby to enter the world in 2013.

Boring is best

Quibblers will, of course, find more holes in all this than there are in a chunk of Swiss cheese. America was helped to the top spot back in 1988 by the inclusion in the ranking of a “philistine factor” (for cultural poverty) and a “yawn index” (the degree to which a country might, despite all its virtues, be irredeemably boring). Switzerland scored terribly on both counts. In the film “The Third Man”, Orson Welles’s character, the rogue Harry Lime, famously says that Italy for 30 years had war, terror and murder under the Borgias but in that time produced Michelangelo, Leonardo da Vinci and the Renaissance; Switzerland had 500 years of peace and democracy—and produced the cuckoo clock.

However, there is surely a lot to be said for boring stability in today’s (and no doubt tomorrow’s) uncertain times. A description of the methodology is available here: food for debate all the way from Lucerne to Lagos.

_________________________

Laza Kekic: director, country forecasting services, Economist Intelligence Unit


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I find it hard to believe that Scandinavian countries where you freeze your ass of for the better part of the entire year, where people are frequently depressed because they're trapped indoors, where alcoholism and suicide are high, rank above the United States. I know a family from Finland, and they only go back there a few months of the year. In the summer.

What's so frigging great about Scandinavia?

And I know several people from Australia and Canada who say they are taxed more than 50% of their income, and again choose to be in the U.S.
I'd agree that skyrocketing debt puts the nation at risk and and has resulted in a decline of the dollar (thank you Bernanke, Reid, Pelosi and Obama) by their puppetmaster's account a "managed decline" (thank you James Bond villain George Soros). But at present, it's still where many worldwide from the so called "better" nations prefer to be!
I know people from 8 of the 10 top nations. That are here in Florida.

Gerard Depardieu in the last few days just renounced his French citizenship, and when publicly criticized by the French president, Depardieu basically told le presidente to chew on his tubesteak.


"Best nation" still largely is in the eye of the beholder, I guess.

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pretty accurate. we have a lot to improve on if we want to be no.1 again. trying to argue against that reality is why we continue to fall behind


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 Originally Posted By: MrJSA
pretty accurate. we have a lot to improve on if we want to be no.1 again. trying to argue against that reality is why we continue to fall behind


No.
Skyrocketing deficits under both W. Bush and Obama are why we're falling behind. They are putting the nation at risk of collapse.

And the mentality of that federal debt, that is manifest in the throw-money-at-the-problem-and-reward-failure mentality, that is visible in such things as FEMA aid in the aftermath of hurricanes Katrina, Wilma and Sandy, are perfect examples of that.
Likewise corporate welfare to Obama pal and G.E. CEO Geoffrey Immelt, who also sits on Obama's jobs commission while offshoring and creating new jobs outside the U.S.

Over and over, the Liberals punish work and innovation, while subsidizing and rewarding failure.

THAT is what's destroying America.

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yes the "liberals are evil" stance has won us the white house, so might as well stay with that approach. go with what works


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Most (all?) those countries that outrank us are further to the left than we are. Something to think about for some people maybe?


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Keeping a few exceptions in mind, that list is fulla shit.

I see that New Zealand and Denmark outrank America. Both are fucking police states with extremely weak private property laws. You barely get to keep any of your paycheck in those countries.

Hong Kong and South Korea make sense, but probably not for the reasons that the person who compiled the list thought of.

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Say for you far right-ers out there, is there a nation out there that is more conservative than us & is doing better economically?


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ARE YOU TAKING ANOTHER POLE?

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In the ass!

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8 year olds.


- even the most powerful force on the interweb plays squares 2 !
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U.S. SLIPS OUT OF LEGATUM INSTITUTE'S "10 Happiest Countries" FOR FIRST TIME



 Quote:
(Newsmax) For the first time, the United States does not rank in the top 10 of the Legatum Institute’s annual ranking of the World’s Happiest Countries.

The country ranked No. 10 last year in Legatum’s Prosperity Index, which has been computed for the past six years, but this year the United States ranks No. 12.

The Prosperity Index is based on a study of 142 countries. Nations are ranked on 89 indicators in eight categories including Economy, Governance, Education, Health, Personal Freedom, and Entrepreneurship & Opportunity.

“In general, the most prosperous (thus ‘happiest’ in my book) countries enjoy stable political institutions, a strong civil society with freedom of expression, good education and healthcare, personal freedom, and a feeling of being safe and secure,” observes Christopher Helman on Forbes.com.

The United States slipped to No. 12 in the Entrepreneurship & Opportunity category “due to a decline in citizens’ perception that working hard gets you ahead,” the Legatum’s report states.

America ranks only 27th in Safety & Security and 20th in Economy, but No. 2 in Health and No. 5 in Education. Its rank for Personal Freedom is 14th.

Luxembourg is the healthiest nation, Iceland the safest, and Switzerland is tops in the Economy and Governance categories. But the No. 1 spot overall goes to Norway, which ranks among the top six in seven categories and is No. 1 or No. 2 in three of them.

Norway has a per capita GDP of $57,000 a year; 95 percent of Norwegians say they are satisfied with the freedom to choose the direction of their lives; and 74 percent say other people can be trusted.

The No. 2 spot goes to Denmark, which is tops for Entrepreneurship & Opportunity, followed by Sweden, Australia, New Zealand (which has the No. 1 spot in the Education category), Canada (No. 1 in Personal Freedom), Finland, Netherlands, Switzerland, Ireland, Luxembourg, and the United States.

At the bottom of the rankings at No. 142, the “saddest” country is the Central African Republic, where the per capita GDP is $790 a year and life expectancy is 48 years. The country ranks dead last in Education and next to last in Entrepreneurship & Opportunity.

The next lowest ranking goes to Republic of Congo — last in Health and Entrepreneurship & Opportunity — followed by Afghanistan, Zimbabwe, and Haiti.

Among other countries, Iran is No. 102, Mexico is No. 61, Iraq is No. 131, Israel is No. 40, and China is No. 55.

The most dangerous country on earth? Chad, which ranks No. 142 in the Safety & Security category.

Yemen ranks last in Personal Freedom, although several countries including North Korea were not included in the rankings.



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This piece I saw makes a persuasive argument for living in Norway.
At least in the scenery department.


25 reasons Norway is the greatest place on earth


Pardon my bias, though, I'd still rather be here in Florida. It's currently 77 degrees Fahrenheit, while much of the rest of the nation (and probably Norway) is below zero.

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The U.S. has dropped to number 12 in the 2014 Index of Economic Freedom.


Further, it has dropped every year since Obama has become president.

U.S. national debt has increased 64% since Obama was inaugurated, and if nothing changes (and it won't) it will increase over 100% to somewhere in excess of 20 trillion on its current trajectory before Obama leaves office.
Rising debt, expanded government authority, and excessive regulation are the primary reasons for the drop in economic freedom.


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Although I find it hard to believe a third-world backhole like Mauritius surpasses the U.S. and most European nations in economic freedom.

Their median income is roughly a third of that in the U.S.

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maybe the cost of living there is way less than the US. Maybe they have way less taxes and their money can buy more in their country than the dollar can in the US.

Or maybe it's just hipster heaven. "Mauritius" is a very fancy name that sounds really nice to people who don't take showers regularly.

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It must be a French thing.



All valid points you make on possibly greater income purchasing power, despite lower incomes.
The photos I saw on Wikipedia, it looks pretty nice, actually. And far enough from Africa and the Middle East to maybe be insulated from their problems.

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There's a country named Chad?

Isn't that the name given to asshole jock roommates in movies?

And it ranks below Niger.

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I've met a few decent guys named Chad. But the name is a stigma they have to work hard to prove they're not the weenie the name implies.

When dangling chads came along in 2000, they encountered another stigma.


Niger is famous for selling yellow-cake uranium to Saddam Hussein, and Joseph Wilson being sent there by his CIA wife to look a second time for uranium purchases. That folks like Whomod and Pro like to tea-leaf-read into it way beyond the facts.
They probably keep a copy of the Plame report in a nightstand next to their beds, so they can use it to achieve an erection, that they likely can't through normal means.
The strange vices of the liberal mind!

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I just thought Niger and Nigeria was the same country. Like, you call it Niger if you're not afraid of being thought of as a racist.

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Niger is a more remote country with a smaller population.

Nigeria is an oil-rich country and a member of Opec that China and Western countries want to make nice with for oil, despite that they have a large muslim population that has been attacking Christians, and resulting political instability.




My favorite minority are the Uyghurs (pronounced <wee-gurs>). They sound like a bunch of ebonics-talking white guys, but they're an Islamic minority in China, in the region closest to Afghanistan, that periodically wage terrorism against the Chinese government. Probably because the Chinese treat them just as badly as they treat the Tibetans.
Also probably because they're muslim, and it's their natural Koranic impulse to wage jihad on any culture that exists outside of islam.


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