I fully expect Trump to beat Harris, and for most of that last month or so, the "538" site, the RealClearPolitics average of polls, several other pollsters, and a site where people bet on the presidential elecion, have all projected somewhere between a 60 to 65% likelihood that Trump will win.
The Senate has alsso been long projected to move to a Republican majority, somewhere between a 51 and 58 sea majority.
The least likely for the Republicans to keep is the narrow House majority, but I hope i remains Republican majority.
Florida was called about 7 PM for Trump.
Georgia (on Newsmax) was just called (10:45 PM) for Trump was well.
Dick Morris has said that the polls in the last 2 weeks are manipulated to favor Harris, as a way to boost Democrat voter morale.
About 10 years ago, I became aware that pollsters (like the mainstream media) have a liberal bias, and manipulate polls to favor he Democrats, and to wage psychological warfare on Republican voters, to convince them their candidate (in any given year, back to at least Michael Dukakis) can't win, and to just resign to the inevitability that the Democrat will win.
I'm going back and forth between Fox and Newsmax coverage. On Newsmax, anchor Ed Henry announced that California was just being called for heir network for Kamala Harris.
To which Katrina Szish responded: "Oh I'm shocked, SHOCKED!!"
With states called for Trump, Ed Henry said that Kamala Harris is running out of possibilities to reach 270, that she is "running out of map".
Dennis Prager said that in this year's election, Democrat policies are causing them to "suffer the same fate as Bud Lite".
I flpped over to CNN just for laughs, and they are showing Trump 227 Harris 153
I maxed out prety quick on how much Chris Wallace and Dana Bash I could endure.
But even CNN acknowledges Trump has about a 51% lead in uncalled batleground states Pennsylvania, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Arizona, each about 80 to 85% of the vote counted.
Currently 209:230. North Carolina was a blow for Harris. She's currently losing in Pennsylvania with 84% of the vote counted, down about 150000 votes. Georgia and Pennsylvania would carry it for him.
Can someone explain the difference to me between Wyoming and Colorado?
Wyoming is a very conservative and solidly Republican state.
Colorado used to be conservative, but much of the exodus from California to there over the last 10 years or so has turned it to a pretty solidly blue state.
current calls on the Presidential race
Newsmax; Trump 248 Harris 213
Fox: Trump 232 Harris 216
CNN: Trump 230 Harris 182
It's always a bit off between them, usually due to partisan biases, but man, I've never seen the network electoral calls so divergent. All over the place !
Yeah, I flipped past Fox news, and they just called Georgia for Trump as well, in the last few minutes.
Newsmax called it about 2 hours ago !
Add to that how Trump is leading by 1-5% in the 8 remaining "lower 48" states. (For time zone reasons,I don't think Alaska has even begun counting yet.)
But Nevada, Arizona, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania all have a solid lead for Trump (Nevada the narrowest, at a 0.2% lead.) With Georgia just called, he's already won or positioned to win all the battleground states.
Maine and New Hampshire I expect to go for Harris.
While I was writing this, Fox just announced (1:21 AM eastern time) Pennsylvania for Trump, that gives the electorals needed for Trump to be president again. That while not 270 for Trump yet, leaves no other electoral path left for Kamala Harris to win.
Oh really? AP Press has 93% of votes counted, with 200000 between each candidate.
Assume for a moment that Trump wins all of Nevada, Arizona, Minnesota (it doesn't seem that likely but you never know), Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania... that would be a very decisive rejection of the Democrats by the electorate.
My daughter arrives in Boston tomorrow for a holiday, with a few days in NYC. It is poor consolation that she'll not have to suffer civil unrest while she is there.
On the behalf of the rest of the Western world, Americans, what the actual fuck.
Dave, you have your well-established views on this which no doubt you'll continue to share, but everyone else, how did you manage to vote a convicted felon / rapist / kleptocrat into the highest position of government?
On the behalf of the rest of the Western world, Americans, what the actual fuck.
Dave, you have your well-established views on this which no doubt you'll continue to share, but everyone else, how did you manage to vote a convicted felon / rapist / kleptocrat into the highest position of government?
So, what part of Kamala Harris did you like, and prefer to Donald Trump?
Is it the wars in Ukraine and Israel that should never have occurred, that never would have, if Trump had remained in office since Jan 2021?
Is itt he hyperinflation, where everything has gone up a least 20% in price? (and cost of a number of things like energy and mortgages have more than doubled) ?
Is it the wide open southern border, that invites terrorism, tens of thousands of foreign military from China, Russia and Iran, invading drug cartels, rapists, murderers, and other prisonerss being emptied into the U.S.from about 180 other nations, according to Border Patrol agents processing them?
Is it the surge of 20 million illegal immigrants who have no right to be the U.S., who are taking public funds and resources away from Americans by the Biden/Harris Bolshevik Party, to subsidize and transport these illegals, at the expense of U.S. citizens? That are creating a scarcity of housing in the U.S., and surging rental prices, as well as displacing Americans that housing is for?
Is it the draining FEMA funds that now-homeless people in North Carolina and other states desperately need now, because their homes were washed away, many waiting a week or more o be rescued by missing FEMA helicopters and trucks? That those FEMA funds were created and set aside for, NOT for transporting and housing and feeding illegal immigrants from the U.S. Southern border to all 50 states?
Is it the rapes of at least 30% of all women illegally crossing the border? (And children, many disappearing into lives of forced prostitution or just murdered, about 330,000 children lost by ICE / DHS). At least 30 % of 2 to 3 million people are smuggled across the border into the U.S. every year. That's a lot of human suffering. Who then owe debt to the cartels ans are forced to commit crimes in the U.S.to pay that debt, for many years into he future.
Is it the risk of yet another war front opening up in Taiwan, that China is clearly preparing for, and the more than 100 military jet sorties over Taiwan occurring every day in preparation for that? Kamala Harris and her benefactors would look the other way and make that happen.
Is it the over 100,000 Americans now dying every year from Fentanyl smuggled into the U.S. ? That's way more annual deaths than the annual deaths in any war in U.S. history. And make no mistake, it is open asymmetrical warfare on the U.S by China., along with an estimated 600 billion in cyber-theft from U.S. companies by China (and from European and Australian companies).
What is so great about the Democrat/Bolshevik managed decline and collapse of the United States, and the enabling of all these wars and suffering that Trump is committed to stop? And Kamala Harris (and her globalist puppetmasters) orchestrate and want to happen, at the expense of hundreds of millions of people, not just in the U.S, but worldwide.
Yeah, Kamala Harris and the Democrats are great. It's too bad Harris and the Democrats didn't win the election, to continue that party. Yep, it's too bad Donald Trump will take decisive action to fix all these problems, that otherwise would have been left to continue and run wild. Just TOO BAD that U.S. citizens and foreign visitors here will be safer because of Trump leading the country and securing is borders. Yeah, what a shame Trump be back in power, in the way of all that that globalist corruption, wars and suffering.
I don' know how you as a lawyer cannot see how Trump was maliciously persecuted and indicted for fake made-up crimes, and forced to pay hundreds of millions of dollars for crimes he clearly did no commit. FOUR simultaneous indictments, righ before the 2024 election? Al Capone, John Gotti, or Osama Bin Ladin were never subjected to something like that. It's like a cour sysem out of Soviet Russia, Communist China, Castro's Cuba, Hugo Chaves' or Meduro's Venezuela, or what is currently being done to Bolsanaro and his ministers by the new Leftist goernment in Brazil. EXACTLY the plan of what they would like to do to Trump and his supporters, right down to a rigged election and then jailing all dissenters, even those just commenting abou the eleciton online. Thought crime.
Prosecuting Trump on fake crimes. While ignoring far more obvious crimes, by Bill and Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Peter Strzok, Lisa Page, James Comey, Andrew McCabe, Bill Priestap, John Brennan, James Clapper and others, were never even indicted, NEVER EVEN INVESTIGATED. In many cases, DOJ and FBI deliberately destroyed the evidence of their crimes. Your weaponized 97% Democrat-donating FBI and DOJ. Covering for their Democrat-Boslshevik friends.
While simultaneously manufacturingg fake crimes involving Trump, by malicious party-loyalist Democrat prosecutors, who then judge-shopped their cases to ultra-Democrat-partisan judges, then holding the trials in jury venues that were upwards of 90% jury-pools of Trump-haters, who were salivating at the prospect of finding Trump guilty of ANYTHING, just to get him, before a single word of evidence was presented in court, just to damage Trump politically, and get a Democrat elected president in 2024
Oops. Didn't go as planned, despite all that abused legal power. I was beautiful the way these cases all were exposed as corrupt, and how most collapsed completely, and even the few convictions on bogus charges exposed their obvious bias, and will eventually be thrown out on appeal.
AND YOU SUPPORT THAT?!? Every one of these cases was perversely biased and unfair. If you don't believe me, look up the editorials about them by Alan Dershowitz and Jonathan Turley. No one too important, just the wo most respected legal minds in the U.S. How can you POSSIBLY call that justice, or Trump a criminal, on the most specious and fabricated of evidence?
In the case of E. Jean Carroll, she is a complete nut job, with some very odd ideas about sex. Live on air, she told Anderson Cooper on CNN that rape is "sexy". Cooper couldn't go to a commercial break fast enough ! But even that attempted cover-up by Anderson Cooper couldn't hide how crazy and delusional this woman is. She accused Trump of raping her in an upscale department store, but she couldn't identtify exactly where or when, or even the dae or what year. And the jury found Trump innocent of rape, but found him guilty of some weirdly obscure definiion of sexual assaault, ANYTHING to smear Trump just enough to prevent him from being elected. But to a majority of the public, it was an obvious frame, and a vile abuse of the legal system to take out their Republican opponent. EVERY ONE of these cases was schemed, orchestrated, and conferenced between all 4 prosecuiting out-of-state Democrat-partisan D.A's (Manhattan, N.Y. state DA, Georgia, and Jack Smith in Washington DC) . each coordinaing sinisterly (politically) with the Biden DOJ leadership. As was proven YET AGAIN in the testimony of Nathaan Wade and fuck-me-in-every postition-and luxury hotel-room-on-the taxpayer's tab Fani Willis.
And the alleged real estate estimaed vaalue fraud by Trump, where here was absolutely no victim, here Deutsche Bank used their own property assessors, said Trump's estimated value was the same as their own independent assessors, hat Trump never missed a payment, re-paid the loan on time, that Deutsche Bank made an enormous sum on loan interest, that they were very happy with the Trump organization, and would gladly loan to them again. No crime. Escept he one the judge and D.A. plotted to make up.
WHAT PART OF THIS looks like due process and legitimate use of the law to you? And not the made up lawfare and persecution of a political opponent it truly is?
*So, what part of Kamala Harris did you like, and prefer to Donald Trump?*
In response, I'm going to concentrate on that question, the good things that Harris might have brought.
1. Russia invaded Ukraine to instal a puppet. Ukraine unexpectedly fought back. I disagree with the idea of takeover of a democratic country by force. Ukraine is starting to lose. Harris would have continued support for it. Some people that Ukraine is a neo-Nazi state (I've read plenty of that from conservatives on Reddit). Regardless, degrading the Russian non-nuclear military so it is so rundown that it can't attack America's interests and actual allies, all without losing a single soldier, has got to be a good thing for global security.
2. Abortion rights. I am not much of a fan of abortion - I become less favourable to it the older I get - but I can't stomach legislation which interferes in a woman's reproductive rights. Harris would have codified Roe v Wade. That won't happen now. Some women can't afford to leave a state to get an abortion. There'll be deaths as a consequence.
3. no tariffs on China. People will still buy Chinese-made goods. Chinese-made parts are built into many American-manufactured consumer goods. China itself doesn't get hit with tariffs - it is the American business which imports them which is hit. The cost will be passed along by the importer to the consumer. That fuels inflation. I don't think most Trump voters understand that.
4. immigration. (Australia is not very good on this either.) The costings on deporting millions of undocumented refugees will be in the hundreds of billions. Some sections of agriculture will collapse without workers. America's debt will increase. ICE's activities in the last Trump presidency were cruel. People can do the wrong thing by a country's laws - illegally immigrate - but that doesn't justify institutionalised governmental cruelty as a response. You'll end up with civil unrest as a consequence.
5. the integrity of American civil society. I think Harris might have worked to heal some of those divisions. I get the impression that Biden tried, but probably not hard enough. Trump has no track record or inclination to do that.
I have no idea what Harris might have done on the human abattoir which is Gaza. It is possible she might have tried to deal with it. We'll never know.
Housing is an issue in most Western countries. We have an acute housing shortage here and my daughter who sometimes lives in Copenhagen says there is one there, too. There's no economic relationship between foreign immigrants and a housing shortage. I don't know what the solution to that is.
Intellectual property theft works both ways nowadays. China is much more advanced in some technology areas than Western countries.
As to fentanyl, it is horrific. I know the key ingredients are manufactured in China, and the PRC government has no incentive to stop factories from making those ingredients, provided they're exported. I don't know what the solution is to that. Sooner or later, China will have its own severe fentanyl problem (if it does not already) and then there might be global action on it.
No one in the election talked about climate change, no doubt because fracking is such a big issue in rural Pennsylvania, whereas it is an enormous issue in most Western countries. I can't see Harris having done much about that.
Lots of people look to have sat this one out on both sides. I'm no Trump fan, but Tulsi joining the team to kill Harris's career aspirations for a second time is amusing.
The meltdowns today have been extreme. A lot of it are still the "woke" nonsense that didn't help this time around. Democrats are oddly the ones that are the bitter clingers hanging onto the Sixth Party System rather than reckoning with the fact it is dead.
On the behalf of the rest of the Western world, Americans, what the actual fuck.
Dave, you have your well-established views on this which no doubt you'll continue to share, but everyone else, how did you manage to vote a convicted felon / rapist / kleptocrat into the highest position of government?
I think the high inflation made it possible. This happened around the world with countries voting out controlling parties. And all the insane Trump stuff is no longer shocking these days. I don’t think the country has fundamentally changed and when Trump overreaches (and he will) he’ll lose support and the midterms will deliver a course correction. The scary part is Trump can and will do a lot of damage.
. Yeah, well.. what also made i possible for Trump to be re-elected is that he:
* did a fantastic job in his first term, and kept more campaign promises to voters than any president, more than even Reagan, * made the U.S. energy-independent for the first time in 75 years, cutting the price of gas by 50% in his first term (and easily will again in January), * re-builtt our destroyed and overburdened milittary (and will again in January), * re-negotiated trade agreements with all our major trading partner nations worldwide, re-negotiated in the U.S.'s favor, * secured the southern border for the first time in over 50 years, that as ICE director Tom Homan said, "I've served under 7 presidents, and Trump is the only one to take securing the border seriously". (And Trump will quickly secure it again in January.) * Trump further gave the U. S. the best economy in over 50 years, the highest growth in wages for workers in over 50 years, incentivized bringing factories and jobs back to the U.S., slashed regulation that was strangling economic growth, created the highest ratio of new home buyers in decades, the highest ratio of new black home-buyers ever, the lowest unemployment in recorded history for blacks, hispanics, people under 30, and the lowest unemplyment for women in over 50 years (And will again.) * Trump secured the middle east with the Abraham Accord, for which he should have won a Nobel Peace Prize (that Biden and the Democrats immediately set about destroying, that as a result, Israel now is now fighting war against Iran and its proxies on all sides (that Trump will secure again in January) * Resisting pushes by Neo-Con advisors during his 2017-2021 first term, Trump prevented wars and escalations, and with soft power short of military force, mostly with economic sanctions, dis-incentivized aggression by all the world's worst players.
As opposed to piece-of-shit Biden and the Democrats, who caused the disgraceful collapse and withdrawal from Afghanisan, that green-lighted Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Biden ceased enforcing oil sanctions on Iran, thus giving them $100 billion to fund terrorist proxies Hamas, Hezbollah, Fatah, the Houthis, and Iran's now-accelerated nuclear program. Not to mention Biden and Harris compromising U.S. border security and letting in 20 million illegal immigrants, among them tens of thousands of Islamic, Russian and Chinese military and terrorist cels, here to do massive sabotage inside the U.S. when activated by their leaders.
NONE of that existed when Trump was president.
In cotnrast to Trump's remarkable accomplishments, both Joe Biden and Kamala Harris did the absolute worst job in their 4 years, were ideologically dug in, and indifferent to he will of the American people, and followed up by each running the very worst campaigns.
And on top of that, these Democrat-Bolsheviks weaponized government against Trump, and an overwhelming majority of American voters were outraged by these Stalinist show-trials based on utterly fake made-up "novel cases".
For example, the Judge Merchan case, where Michael Cohen without Trump's knowledge paid off about $160,000 to Stormy Daniels in a non-disclosure agreement, not because Trump did anything wrong, but just an agreemen to silence her and keep her from slandering Trump, as she has accused and slandered others before Trump, and Stormy Daniels (a k a Melanie Clifford) once Trump declined o give her a posiion on The Apprentice, openly talked about her backup plan being to publicly exploit her association with Trump just to make money. So she was quietly paid off by Cohen in a non-disclosure agreement (as many famous and wealthy celebrities and business people do all the time). And then Cohen, AFTER the election, notified Trump and Cohen was re-imbursed with a check labelled "legal expenses". Which it was, a non-disclosure agreement is a legal expense (and that's not even getting into the fact that Cohen further over-billed Trump $40,000 beyond that cost, deliberate FRAUD Cohen admited o in court, just because he felt Trump should give him a bonus.
Then the case was filed against Trump. And EVEN IF "legal expenses" were an improper label of the check, the "crime" for that would be a fine of just $200. *AND* the statute of limitations to even do that much had already expired.
So Leticia James and Judge Merchan manipulated the law in a "novel case" (for which no other human being in history has ever been indicted before), taking the same piddly alleged offense and re-invented it as 34 new FEDERAL charges, with an outrageous potential sentence of many years in prison for Trump. And a hyper-partisan 92% Trump-hating Manhattan jury licked their lips and eagerly convicted Trump of "34 federal charges" (contrived charges, fake, made up, just for Trump, no one else on the planet) just to smear him politically and try to destroy his chances of re-election in 2024.
Needless to say, it didn't work, more voters were outraged by this Democrat-Bolshevik over-reach, while a minority of M E M's nationwide were duped or malicously bought into these allegations just because, y'know, HATE TRUMP.
There are FOUR cases like that. And even the two most highly regarded constitutional lawyers, and DEMOCRATS, Jonathan Turley and Alan Dershowitz, say these cases are completely bogus and should never have been charged against Trump. And even if convicted, in their highly qualified legal opinion these charges will eventually be overturned, either in the state courts, the circuit court, or the U.S. Supreme Court. That these are specious fake cases, woven out of specious fake law, indicted by fanatical Democrat-Bolshevik prosecutors, judge-shopped to fanatical Democrat-Bolshevik judges. And cases tried in very selective over 90% Trump-hating Democrat pockets of the country, by juries who, as is crystal clear, are EAGER and gleeful at the opportunity to convict Trump.
And this follows the same pattern as the prosecutors, judges and juries in the Michael Flynn, Peter Navarro, Steve Bannon and Roger Stone cases. Democrat-Bolshevik show-trials
Ohhh, OHHH !! [ Clutch pearls] How could his happen? Trump is a convicted felon / rapist / kleptocrat, how can he be permitted to take he highest position in government?!?
No, not really. Made-up fake charges, just to destroy his candidacy. But it didn't work. And it scares me that you two (and tens of million like you) see these cases as reality, and not the Bolshevik lawfare that it truly is. But you're apparently too blinded by ideology to see it.
Former House speaker New Gingrich, on the underlying cause and ramificattons of Trump's presidential victory for a second term, and he significant shift in the nation, in the Republican party, and how i makes Trump an even stronger president in his second term. How he is actually stronger by learning from his first term mistakes, and even from losing and re-strategizing after the 2020 election.
